PA SENATE RACE NOT CALLED - Dave McCormick Projected Winner

The U.S. Senate race in Pennsylvania between Democratic incumbent Bob Casey Jr. and Republican challenger Dave McCormick is too close to call. As of early Wednesday morning, the race had tightened significantly in the final days of the campaign, with both candidates expressing confidence in their paths to victory.

Born in Scranton, Pennsylvania, Casey has served in public office since 1996 and is seeking his fourth term in the Senate. His father, a former Pennsylvania governor, has given him extraordinary name recognition in the state. Casey's politics have shifted left over the years on issues including abortion and same-sex marriage, but he has retained a populist economic agenda, supporting organized labor, opposing efforts to restrict the natural gas industry, and fighting against free trade agreements.

McCormick, a West Point graduate and Gulf War veteran, is a former hedge fund chief executive who has benefited from tens of millions in spending from a super PAC funded by finance industry billionaires. McCormick narrowly lost the 2022 GOP Senate primary to Mehmet Oz, but this time found a message that resonated with voters anxious about the economy and eager to back a candidate aligned with former President Donald Trump.

The race has seen more than $300 million in spending by the campaigns, their parties, and outside spending groups. The largest outside spender was Keystone Renewal, a pro-McCormick super PAC backed primarily by finance industry billionaires, some of whom knew the Republican from his days at Connecticut-based Bridgewater.

While the race will not determine control of the Senate given that Republicans have picked up seats in West Virginia and Ohio, it could play a major role in determining the strength of the GOP’s expected majority. If Casey and a handful of other Democratic incumbents survive, Republicans will have little margin for defections in the upper chamber over the next two years.

ROBERT P CASEY JR (DEM)

48.18% (Votes: 3,189,779)

DAVE MCCORMICK (REP)

49.26% (Votes: 3,261,457)

JOHN C THOMAS (LIB)

1.29% (Votes: 85,468)

LEILA HAZOU (GRN)

0.93% (Votes: 61,321)

MARTY SELKER (CST)

0.34% (Votes: 22,490)